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A CNN Sunday article said Trump could win back the White House in 2024. In spite of the narrative of critics that think the radical left wants him to be the nominee, Harry Enten thinks the possibility is “very real”. Most conservatives reject that narrative due to the Biden administration’s DOJ constantly targeting Trump. A New York Times/Sienna poll found the former president 37 points ahead of DeSantis.
CNN is worried
Trump keeps talking about the indictment. He spoke with Breitbart News.
“This is harassment. This is election interference. Where’s Biden with all the documents? He’s got 20 times, 30 times the documents I have, and he has not made it easy for them either. He has been hiding boxes. … You explain that one. You don’t even hear about it. All you hear about is Trump. No, this is a two-tier system of injustice. That’s what we have. We have a sick country. Our country is very sick right now. We have a failing nation and it’s a very sad thing to watch.”
Even though Trump continues to be targeted, CNN noted, “Trump is not only in a historically strong position for a nonincumbent to win the Republican nomination, but he is in a better position to win the general election than at any point during the 2020 cycle and almost at any point during the 2016 cycle.” The man dominates the polls.
Trump well ahead of DeSantis
Trump is 37 points ahead of the Florida governor. The CNN article said it was rare for a candidate to win over a 30 point deficit like that.
Trump is strong in Iowa, New Hampshire and South Carolina, stacking the deck against other Republicans.
“A look back at past polls does show candidates coming back from deficits greater than 10 points to win the nomination, but none greater than 30 points at this point. In fact, the biggest comebacks when you average all the polls in the second half of the year before the election top out at about 20 points (Democrats George McGovern in 1972, Jimmy Carter in 1976 and Barack Obama in 2008).”
CNN article showed surveys
Trump and Biden might be in a head-to-head contest according to surveys but the 2024 election could “probably come down to a few swing states. The good news for Democrats is that general election polling, unlike primary polling, is not predictive at this point. Things can most certainly change.”
The article tried to end on a positive note but Trump winning is a “very real possibility.” Trump is the least predictable politician ever so nothing can be ruled out.
